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新疆沙冬青种群年龄结构及数量动态特征

Age structure and demographic dynamics of Ammopiptanthus nanus (M. Pop.) Cheng f. populations

  • 摘要: 新疆沙冬青(Ammopiptanthus nanus (M. Pop.) Cheng f.)为第三纪古地中海沿岸的珍稀孑遗物种,是国家Ⅱ级保护植物。本研究通过种群年龄结构、静态生命表、存活曲线、生存函数曲线及时间序列模型分析,揭示新疆沙冬青种群年龄结构及数量动态趋势。结果显示,新疆沙冬青种群老年个体数量最多,占总株数的48.1%,幼苗占比最低,仅为7.0%,种群年龄结构呈衰退型;存活曲线呈Deevey-Ⅱ型,种群总体死亡率较稳定;种群数量具有前期锐减、中期稳定、后期衰退的动态趋势,表明新疆沙冬青有较高的灭绝风险。增加种群幼苗数量,提高幼龄级到成年龄级过渡阶段的存活率,是促进新疆沙冬青良性发展的关键措施。

     

    Abstract: Ammopiptanthus nanus (M. Pop.) Cheng f. is a rare Tertiary relict species that originated along the Tethys coast and is currently classified as a state Grade Ⅱ protected plant due to demographic scarcity. This study examined the population age structure and demographic dynamics through analyses of static life tables, survival curves, survival function curves, and time series models. Results showed that mature individuals constituted the largest proportion of the population (48.1%), while saplings accounted for the lowest proportion (7.0%), reflecting a declining age structure. The species exhibited a Deevey-Ⅱ survival curve, with a stable overall mortality rate. However, a pronounced decline in the early stages, followed by a stabilization phase in the middle period and a subsequent decline in the later stages, suggests a heightened risk of extinction. Enhancing seedling recruitment and improving the survival rate during the transition from juvenile to adult stages are critical for ensuring population sustainability and long-term viability.

     

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