Geographical distribution and prediction of potentially suitable regions of endangered relict plant <i>Tetraena mongolica</i>

Duan Yi-Zhong; Yu Hui; Wang Hai-Tao; Du Zhong-Yu

doi:10.11913/PSJ.2095-0837.2019.30337

Plant Science Journal > 2019 > 37(3): 337-347. > DOI: 10.11913/PSJ.2095-0837.2019.30337

Duan Yi-Zhong, Yu Hui, Wang Hai-Tao, Du Zhong-Yu. Geographical distribution and prediction of potentially suitable regions of endangered relict plant Tetraena mongolica[J]. Plant Science Journal, 2019, 37(3): 337-347. DOI: 10.11913/PSJ.2095-0837.2019.30337

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Geographical distribution and prediction of potentially suitable regions of endangered relict plant Tetraena mongolica

1. Yulin University, Yulin, Shaanxi 719000, China;
2. Yulin District Southern Farm, Yulin, Shaanxi 719000, China;
3. Breeding Base for State Key Laboratory of Land Degradation and Ecological Restoration in Northwest China, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021, China;
4. Key Laboratory for Restoration and Reconstruction of Degraded Ecosystem in Northwest China of Ministry of Education, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021, China

Funds:

This work was supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41601059).

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Received Date: October 28, 2018
Revised Date: December 10, 2018
Available Online: October 31, 2022
Published Date: June 27, 2019

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Abstract

Abstract

The endangered relict plant Tetraena mongolica Maxim was studied, with the MaxEnt and Bioclim models used to predict potentially suitable regions. We used the knife-cutting method and environmental variable response curves to evaluate the dominant environmental factors affecting the distribution of T. mongolica. Furthermore, we used the ArcGIS natural discontinuity method to divide fitness levels. Results showed that T. mongolica was mainly distributed in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Tibet Region, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Inner Mongolia, and the Gansu, Qinghai, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Hebei, Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang provinces in China, with a total area of 1.49×10⁶ km². Highly suitable zones were found in the Maowusu Sandy Land of Wuhai city, the Tengger Desert in the Alxa Left Banner, the southeastern part of Yinshan Mountain, and mountains in the Helan range. The potential distribution area of T. mongolica will be reduced to north of Inner Mongolia and western Northeast China by 2050. The Area Under Curve (AUC) average values of the two models were all above 0.8, justifying their application for predicting potential areas of T. mongolica. Among the 19 environmental variables, the main factors affecting the potential distribution of T. mongolica were average precipitation of the coldest quarter and temperature annual range, followed by the coefficient of variation of precipitation seasonality and standard deviation (SD) of temperature seasonality.
- Tetraena mongolica,
- MaxEnt model,
- Bioclim model,
- Prediction of potential distribution,
- Environmental factors

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References

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